2006 Annual Meetng

An International Meeting of
the American Accounting Association

American Accounting Association
2006 Annual Meeting

August 6–9, 2006
Washington, D.C.


The Effects of Intellectual Capital News on Stock Returns: A Variance Decomposition Model

Yi - Mien Lin
National Chung Hsing University - Taiwan

Chih - Chen Lee
Northern Illinois University - U.S.A.

Che - Hsun Chang
Deloitte & Touche - Taiwan

Abstract: This paper decomposes stock returns and excess returns into intellectual capital news and expected returns news, and induces a variance decomposition model for intellectual capital news and expected returns news. We divide intellectual capital into recorded and unrecorded intellectual capital, and examine the value relevance of expected returns news, recorded and unrecorded intellectual capital news. We also investigate how the US stock market reacts to unexpected stock returns under considering intellectual capital and expected returns news. We find that intellectual capital news is the main driver of stock returns and excess returns. After decomposing intellectual capital into recorded and unrecorded intellectual capital, the recorded intellectual capital news is the dominating driver of stock returns and excess returns. Moreover, the US stock markets “underreact” to recorded intellectual capital news, unrecorded intellectual capital news and expected returns news.

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